Logical Analysis Report

Key Focus

  • Elrod was close to Joe Scarborough and Mika Brzezinski from her years appearing on their show before joining the campaign. Ms. Elrod called Mr. Scarborough to discuss the polling and concerns inside the campaign that the president was being kept in the dark, in the hopes that he would convey those points on the show ...
  • Adrienne Elrod, a Biden campaign adviser, suspected the president was not getting a complete picture of how dire the situation was.. . She was among several senior staff members who wanted the president to see the data they were seeing, but they never had direct access to him ...
  • Instead, they often presented overly optimistic outlooks of the political landscape, alarming members of the campaign staff, who looked for ways to bypass his longtime advisers Steve Ricchetti and Mike Donilon to get information to the president ...


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High Level Topics

  • PRESIDENT
  • CAMPAIGN
  • TRUMP
  • RE-ELECTION
  • High Level Abstractions

  • PRESIDENT
  • ( PRESIDENT )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, ELROD )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, STEVE_RICCHETTI )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, STAFF )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, RE-ELECTION )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, POLITICAL )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, OUTLOOKS )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, MIKE_DONILON )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, MIKA_BRZEZINSKI )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, LANDSCAPE )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, JOE_SCARBOROUGH )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, HAMSTRUNG )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, TRUMP )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, TRUMP, TELEVISION )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, TRUMP, RACE )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, TRUMP, PRESIDENTIAL )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, TRUMP, PHONE )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, TRUMP, MELTED )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, TRUMP, CERTAIN )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, STAFF )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, RE-ELECTION )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, RACE )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, PRESIDENTIAL )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, ELROD )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, TELEVISION )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, STEVE_RICCHETTI )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, SCREAMED )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, RICCHETTI )  top
  • ( PRESIDENT, REPRESENTATIVE )  top
  • CAMPAIGN
  • ( CAMPAIGN )  top
  • ( CAMPAIGN, ELROD )  top
  • ( CAMPAIGN, WARPED )  top
  • ( CAMPAIGN, RE-ELECTION )  top
  • ( CAMPAIGN, POLLS )  top
  • ( CAMPAIGN, MIKA_BRZEZINSKI )  top
  • ( CAMPAIGN, LEADERSHIP )  top
  • ( CAMPAIGN, JOE_SCARBOROUGH )  top
  • ( CAMPAIGN, HAMSTRUNG )  top
  • ( CAMPAIGN, DEMOCRATIC )  top
  • ( CAMPAIGN, ANALYTICS )  top
  • ( CAMPAIGN, ADVISER )  top
  • TRUMP
  • ( TRUMP )  top
  • ( TRUMP, PRESIDENTIAL )  top
  • ( TRUMP, TELEVISION )  top
  • ( TRUMP, SUN_BELT )  top
  • ( TRUMP, RACE )  top
  • ( TRUMP, PRESIDENT-ELECT_DONALD )  top
  • ( TRUMP, POLLS )  top
  • ( TRUMP, PHONE )  top
  • ( TRUMP, NEW_MEXICO )  top
  • ( TRUMP, MELTED )  top
  • ( TRUMP, ELECTION )  top
  • ( TRUMP, DONILON )  top
  • RE-ELECTION
  • ( RE-ELECTION )  top
  • ( RE-ELECTION, PERFORMANCE )  top
  • ( RE-ELECTION, DEMOCRATS )  top
  • ( RE-ELECTION, CIRCLE )  top
  • References

    • ( PRESIDENT )  top
    • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN )  top
    • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, ELROD )  top
    •   topDonilon got on the line and said he disagreed.. . 'Keeping him in a bubble'. . Adrienne Elrod, a Biden campaign adviser, suspected the president was not getting a complete picture of how dire the situation was
    • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, STEVE_RICCHETTI )  top
    •   topInstead, they often presented overly optimistic outlooks of the political landscape, alarming members of the campaign staff, who looked for ways to bypass his longtime advisers Steve Ricchetti and Mike Donilon to get information to the president.
    • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, STAFF )  top
    •   topInstead, they often presented overly optimistic outlooks of the political landscape, alarming members of the campaign staff, who looked for ways to bypass his longtime advisers Steve Ricchetti and Mike Donilon to get information to the president
    • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, RE-ELECTION )  top
    •   topThe former president's closest aides maintain a different view. He should have never given into pressure and abandoned his re-election campaign, they argue.
    • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, POLITICAL )  top
    •   topInstead, they often presented overly optimistic outlooks of the political landscape, alarming members of the campaign staff, who looked for ways to bypass his longtime advisers Steve Ricchetti and Mike Donilon to get information to the president
    • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, OUTLOOKS )  top
    •   topInstead, they often presented overly optimistic outlooks of the political landscape, alarming members of the campaign staff, who looked for ways to bypass his longtime advisers Steve Ricchetti and Mike Donilon to get information to the president
    • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, MIKE_DONILON )  top
    •   topInstead, they often presented overly optimistic outlooks of the political landscape, alarming members of the campaign staff, who looked for ways to bypass his longtime advisers Steve Ricchetti and Mike Donilon to get information to the president.
    • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, MIKA_BRZEZINSKI )  top
    •   topElrod was close to Joe Scarborough and Mika Brzezinski from her years appearing on their show before joining the campaign.
    • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, LANDSCAPE )  top
    •   topInstead, they often presented overly optimistic outlooks of the political landscape, alarming members of the campaign staff, who looked for ways to bypass his longtime advisers Steve Ricchetti and Mike Donilon to get information to the president
    • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, JOE_SCARBOROUGH )  top
    •   topElrod was close to Joe Scarborough and Mika Brzezinski from her years appearing on their show before joining the campaign
    • ( PRESIDENT, CAMPAIGN, HAMSTRUNG )  top
    •   topThey were told they should present to his closest advisers - not to the president himself.. . The team already felt hamstrung, because they had not been given access to internal campaign analytics after the debate.
    • ( PRESIDENT, TRUMP )  top
    • ( PRESIDENT, TRUMP, TELEVISION )  top
    •   topBiden had melted down on national television during a debate with Mr. Trump, some members of his party feared he was certain to lose the presidential race - and that he might take them down with him
    • ( PRESIDENT, TRUMP, RACE )  top
    •   topBiden had melted down on national television during a debate with Mr. Trump, some members of his party feared he was certain to lose the presidential race - and that he might take them down with him.
    • ( PRESIDENT, TRUMP, PRESIDENTIAL )  top
    •   topBiden had melted down on national television during a debate with Mr. Trump, some members of his party feared he was certain to lose the presidential race - and that he might take them down with him.
    • ( PRESIDENT, TRUMP, PHONE )  top
    •   topDonilon on the phone because the president did not believe Ms. Pelosi. She was adamant the polls showed Mr. Biden would lose to Mr
    • ( PRESIDENT, TRUMP, MELTED )  top
    •   topBiden had melted down on national television during a debate with Mr. Trump, some members of his party feared he was certain to lose the presidential race - and that he might take them down with him
    • ( PRESIDENT, TRUMP, CERTAIN )  top
    •   topBiden had melted down on national television during a debate with Mr. Trump, some members of his party feared he was certain to lose the presidential race - and that he might take them down with him.
    • ( PRESIDENT, STAFF )  top
    •   topSee ( PRESIDENT , CAMPAIGN , STAFF )
    •   topAdrienne Elrod, a Biden campaign adviser, suspected the president was not getting a complete picture of how dire the situation was.. . She was among several senior staff members who wanted the president to see the data they were seeing, but they never had direct access to him
    • ( PRESIDENT, RE-ELECTION )  top
    •   topTrump took office, many Democrats have expressed regret that they did not call for Mr. Biden to drop out sooner - or push him to not run for re-election at all. The former president's closest aides maintain a different view. He should have never given into pressure and abandoned his re-election campaign, they argue
    • ( PRESIDENT, RACE )  top
    •   topBiden had melted down on national television during a debate with Mr. Trump, some members of his party feared he was certain to lose the presidential race - and that he might take them down with him.. . Representative Pete Aguilar of California, a top House Democrat, called one of the only people who had the president's ear
    • ( PRESIDENT, PRESIDENTIAL )  top
    •   topBiden had melted down on national television during a debate with Mr. Trump, some members of his party feared he was certain to lose the presidential race - and that he might take them down with him.. . Representative Pete Aguilar of California, a top House Democrat, called one of the only people who had the president's ear
    • ( PRESIDENT, ELROD )  top
    •   topDonilon got on the line and said he disagreed.. . 'Keeping him in a bubble'. . Adrienne Elrod, a Biden campaign adviser, suspected the president was not getting a complete picture of how dire the situation was.
    •   topBiden's attention: the hosts of "Morning Joe" on MSNBC, which the president watched every morning.. . Ms. Elrod was close to Joe Scarborough and Mika Brzezinski from her years appearing on their show before joining the campaign
    • ( PRESIDENT, TELEVISION )  top
    •   topBiden had melted down on national television during a debate with Mr. Trump, some members of his party feared he was certain to lose the presidential race - and that he might take them down with him.
    • ( PRESIDENT, STEVE_RICCHETTI )  top
    •   topInstead, they often presented overly optimistic outlooks of the political landscape, alarming members of the campaign staff, who looked for ways to bypass his longtime advisers Steve Ricchetti and Mike Donilon to get information to the president. For the most part, they failed to reach him.
    • ( PRESIDENT, SCREAMED )  top
    •   topBiden prompted a cascade of concern among his top aides. One screamed at me for calling the former president directly. Others texted furiously, trying to figure out how I had obtained Mr
    • ( PRESIDENT, RICCHETTI )  top
    •   top"Do you realize how bad it is." Mr. Aguilar asked Mr. Ricchetti early last July. "Has anyone told the president how bad it is.". . Mr. Ricchetti was sanguine
    •   topAguilar shot back, "Steve, has anyone walked into the Oval and told him we could lose everything.". . Mr. Ricchetti said no, insisting that many members of Congress still supported the president. Mr. Aguilar said that was simply not true
    • ( PRESIDENT, REPRESENTATIVE )  top
    •   topTrump, some members of his party feared he was certain to lose the presidential race - and that he might take them down with him.. . Representative Pete Aguilar of California, a top House Democrat, called one of the only people who had the president's ear
    • ( CAMPAIGN )  top
    • ( CAMPAIGN, ELROD )  top
    •   topSee ( PRESIDENT , CAMPAIGN , ELROD )
    •   topElrod was close to Joe Scarborough and Mika Brzezinski from her years appearing on their show before joining the campaign. Ms. Elrod called Mr. Scarborough to discuss the polling and concerns inside the campaign that the president was being kept in the dark, in the hopes that he would convey those points on the show
    • ( CAMPAIGN, WARPED )  top
    •   topBiden was aware of the concern among Democrats - it was impossible to ignore - but his aides continued to provide him with a warped version of reality.. . No path to victory. . Mr. Biden had a team of campaign pollsters who were prepared to tell him the truth about the numbers, but they never got the opportunity
    • ( CAMPAIGN, RE-ELECTION )  top
    •   topThe former president's closest aides maintain a different view. He should have never given into pressure and abandoned his re-election campaign, they argue.. . "It was an act of insanity by the Democratic leadership," Mr
    • ( CAMPAIGN, POLLS )  top
    •   topSo they focused on public polling for their presentation. Citing data from RealClearPolitics, an aggregator of public polls, the team walked the advisers through each of the battleground states.
    • ( CAMPAIGN, MIKA_BRZEZINSKI )  top
    •   topElrod was close to Joe Scarborough and Mika Brzezinski from her years appearing on their show before joining the campaign. Ms. Elrod called Mr
    • ( CAMPAIGN, LEADERSHIP )  top
    •   topHe should have never given into pressure and abandoned his re-election campaign, they argue.. . "It was an act of insanity by the Democratic leadership," Mr. Donilon said in an interview for this book.
    • ( CAMPAIGN, JOE_SCARBOROUGH )  top
    •   topSee ( PRESIDENT , CAMPAIGN , JOE_SCARBOROUGH )
    • ( CAMPAIGN, HAMSTRUNG )  top
    •   topThey were told they should present to his closest advisers - not to the president himself.. . The team already felt hamstrung, because they had not been given access to internal campaign analytics after the debate..
    • ( CAMPAIGN, DEMOCRATIC )  top
    •   topHe should have never given into pressure and abandoned his re-election campaign, they argue.. . "It was an act of insanity by the Democratic leadership," Mr. Donilon said in an interview for this book.
    • ( CAMPAIGN, ANALYTICS )  top
    •   topThey were told they should present to his closest advisers - not to the president himself.. . The team already felt hamstrung, because they had not been given access to internal campaign analytics after the debate.. . So they focused on public polling for their presentation. Citing data from RealClearPolitics, an aggregator of public polls, the team walked the advisers through each of the battleground...
    • ( CAMPAIGN, ADVISER )  top
    •   topDonilon got on the line and said he disagreed.. . 'Keeping him in a bubble'. . Adrienne Elrod, a Biden campaign adviser, suspected the president was not getting a complete picture of how dire the situation was.
    • ( TRUMP )  top
    • ( TRUMP, PRESIDENTIAL )  top
    •   topFor months, as I worked on a book about the 2024 presidential election, I made multiple requests for an interview with Mr. Biden. One of my co-authors had sat down with President-elect Donald J
    •   topSee ( PRESIDENT , TRUMP , PRESIDENTIAL )
    • ( TRUMP, TELEVISION )  top
    •   top. Nearly two weeks after Mr. Biden had melted down on national television during a debate with Mr. Trump, some members of his party feared he was certain to lose the presidential race - and that he might take them down with him
    • ( TRUMP, SUN_BELT )  top
    •   top... from RealClearPolitics, an aggregator of public polls, the team walked the advisers through each of the battleground states. Mr. Biden trailed Mr. Trump in all of them, though more significantly in the Sun Belt states than in the Blue Wall. More troubling was that reliably Democratic states, including Virginia, Minnesota and New Mexico, now appeared to be competitive
    • ( TRUMP, RACE )  top
    •   topSee ( PRESIDENT , TRUMP , RACE )
    • ( TRUMP, PRESIDENT-ELECT_DONALD )  top
    •   topFor months, as I worked on a book about the 2024 presidential election, I made multiple requests for an interview with Mr. Biden. One of my co-authors had sat down with President-elect Donald J. Trump, and we felt it was critical to talk to Mr. Biden. But the former president's aides said he was working on a memoir, and that would conflict with my book
    • ( TRUMP, POLLS )  top
    •   topCiting data from RealClearPolitics, an aggregator of public polls, the team walked the advisers through each of the battleground states. Mr. Biden trailed Mr. Trump in all of them, though more significantly in the Sun Belt states than in the Blue Wall
    •   topDonilon on the phone because the president did not believe Ms. Pelosi. She was adamant the polls showed Mr. Biden would lose to Mr. Trump.. . Mr. Donilon got on the line and said he disagreed.
    • ( TRUMP, PHONE )  top
    •   topSee ( PRESIDENT , TRUMP , PHONE )
    • ( TRUMP, NEW_MEXICO )  top
    •   topTrump in all of them, though more significantly in the Sun Belt states than in the Blue Wall. More troubling was that reliably Democratic states, including Virginia, Minnesota and New Mexico, now appeared to be competitive.
    • ( TRUMP, MELTED )  top
    •   top. Nearly two weeks after Mr. Biden had melted down on national television during a debate with Mr. Trump, some members of his party feared he was certain to lose the presidential race - and that he might take them down with him
    • ( TRUMP, ELECTION )  top
    •   topFor months, as I worked on a book about the 2024 presidential election, I made multiple requests for an interview with Mr. Biden. One of my co-authors had sat down with President-elect Donald J
    • ( TRUMP, DONILON )  top
    •   topDonilon on the phone because the president did not believe Ms. Pelosi. She was adamant the polls showed Mr. Biden would lose to Mr. Trump.. . Mr. Donilon got on the line and said he disagreed.. . 'Keeping him in a bubble'.
    • ( RE-ELECTION )  top
    • ( RE-ELECTION, PERFORMANCE )  top
    •   topBiden Jr.'s inner circle to limit access to him helps explain why it took him more than three weeks to drop his re-election bid after his disastrous debate performance.. . By Tyler Pager. Updated 12:33 p.m. ET.
    •   topAnd in no instance was the protectiveness of his staff, and his failure to connect with outside voices, more pronounced than in the period after his disastrous debate performance 13 months ago. At the most perilous moment of his presidency, with his prospects for re-election teetering amid growing concerns about his age and mental acuity, Mr
    • ( RE-ELECTION, DEMOCRATS )  top
    •   topTrump took office, many Democrats have expressed regret that they did not call for Mr. Biden to drop out sooner - or push him to not run for re-election at all
    • ( RE-ELECTION, CIRCLE )  top
    •   topBiden Jr.'s inner circle to limit access to him helps explain why it took him more than three weeks to drop his re-election bid after his disastrous debate performance.
    •   top... perilous moment of his presidency, with his prospects for re-election teetering amid growing concerns about his age and mental acuity, Mr. Biden was all but impossible for anyone outside his tight inner circle to reach.